Daily Technical Analysis

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Technical Overview of BTC/USD, LTC/USD and ETH/USD by XtreamForex

BTC USD

BTC traded a bit lower against USD and closed at 3874.99.

According to the Analysis, The BTC/USD pair is expected to find support at 3841.74, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 3808.49. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 3910.49, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 3945.99.

Previous Day range was 68.75 and Current Day Range is 21.46.

LTC USD

LTC traded lower against USD and closed at 57.61

According to the Analysis, The LTC/USD pair is expected to find support at 56.45, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 55.30. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 58.74, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 59.88.

Previous Day range was 22900 and Current Day Range is 10600.

ETH USD

ETH traded lower against USD and closed at 135.6.

According to the Analysis, The ETH/USD pair is expected to find support at 133.95, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 132.29. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 137.85, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 140.09.

Previous day range was 39000 and current day range is 11000.

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Technical Overview of EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/CHF Currency Pairs

EUR USD

The EUR traded Higher against the USD and closed at 1.122.

The New Home Sales indicator reflects sales of newly constructed residences in the United States in the specified month. It measures new single-family home sales.The indicator is used for measuring the US housing market conditions. Index growth may have a positive effect on dollar quotes.

According to the Analysis, Four hour chart shows that the pair is expected to find support at 1.12023, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.11848. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.12492, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.12786.

Previous Day range was 46.9 and Current Day Range is 16.3.

GBP USD

The GBP traded higher against the USD and closed at 1.304.

United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product q/q is the key indicator of the national economy growth. The index shows changes in the market value of goods and services produced in the country in the given quarter compared to the previous quarter. The GDP is calculated using statistical information (using national economic indicators), forecast models and expert evaluations.

GDP growth can be seen as positive for the pound sterling.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.29794, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.29186. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.31551, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.32700.

GBP USD previous Day range was 175.7 and Current Day Range is 34.8.

USD CHF

The USD traded higher against CHF and closed at 0.9956.

According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.99365, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.99169. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.99744, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.99927.

USD CHF previous day range was 37.9 and current day range is 15.7.

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Technical Overview of AUD/USD, USD/JPY and NZD/USD Currency Pairs

AUD USD

The AUD traded lower against the USD and closed at 0.7111.

Decisions regarding this interest rate are made by the Reserve Bank Board, and are explained in a media release which announces the decision at 2.30 pm after each Board meeting.

RBA Interest Rate Decision is announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia. If the RBA is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the interest rates it is positive, or bullish, for the AUD. Likewise, if the RBA has a dovish view on the Australian economy and keeps the ongoing interest rate, or cuts the interest rate it is seen as negative, or bearish.

According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 0.70994, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.70874. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.71275, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.71436.

Previous Day range was 28.1 and Current Day Range is 47.5.

USD JPY

The USD traded higher against the JPY and closed at 111.342.

The Nondefense Capital Goods Orders Excluding Aircraft, released by the US Census Bureau, measures the cost of orders received by manufacturers for capital goods (capital goods are durable goods used in the production of goods or services), which means goods planned to last for three years or more, excluding the defense and aircraft sectors. As those durable products often involve large investments they are sensitive to the US economic situation. Generally speaking, a high reading is bullish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as Bearish.

The pair is expected to find support at 110.967, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 110.593. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 111.577, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 111.813.

USD JPY previous Day range was 6100 and Current Day Range is 1640.

NZD USD

The NZD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6805.

According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.67931, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.67815. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.68267, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.68487.

NZD USD previous day range was 33.6 and current day range is 27.5.

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Technical Overview of USD/CHF, AUD/USD and USD/JPY Currency Pairs

USD CHF

The USD traded lower against the CHF and closed at 0.9981.

Nonfarm Payrolls present the number of new jobs created during the given month, in all non-agricultural sectors of the U.S.

The indicator growth can have a positive effect on dollar quotes.

According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 0.99606, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.99400. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.99946, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.00080.

Previous Day range was 34 and Current Day Range is 16.6.

AUD USD

The AUD traded higher against the USD and closed at 0.7112.

The Average Hourly Earnings released by the US Department of Labor is a significant indicator of labor cost inflation and of the tightness of labor markets. The Federal Reserve Board pays close attention to when setting interest rates. A high reading is also positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative.

The pair is expected to find support at 0.70675, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.70231. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.71428, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.71737.

AUD USD previous Day range was 75.3 and Current Day Range is 17.8.

USD JPY

The USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 111.482.

According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 111.271, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 111.060. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 111.632, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 111.782.

USD JPY previous day range was 3610 and current day range is 1630.

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Technical Overview of EUR/USD, NZD/USD and GBP/USD Currency Pairs

EUR USD

The EUR traded higher against the USD and closed at 1.122.

Nonfarm Payrolls present the number of new jobs created during the given month, in all non-agricultural sectors of the U.S.

The indicator growth can have a positive effect on dollar quotes.

According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.12015, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.11832. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.12427, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.12656.

Previous Day range was 41.2 and Current Day Range is 11.6.

NZD USD

The NZD traded higher against the USD and closed at 0.6752.

The Average Hourly Earnings released by the US Department of Labor is a significant indicator of labor cost inflation and of the tightness of labor markets. The Federal Reserve Board pays close attention to when setting interest rates. A high reading is also positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative.

The pair is expected to find support at 0.67336, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.67150. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.67850, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.68178.

NZD USD previous Day range was 51.4 and Current Day Range is 15.1.

GBP USD

The GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 1.3071.

According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.30236, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.29759. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.31539, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.32365.

GBP USD previous day range was 130.3 and current day range is 23.5.

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Technical Overview of EUR/USD and GBP/USD Currency Pair

EUR USD

EUR traded lower against USD and closed at 1.1365.

EUR/USD position as the second-best G-10 FX trade in months leading up to the first Fed cut, only outpaced by a long EUR/NZD position.

ECB easing is also a done deal now, as Draghi hinted of easing unless the outlook improves (more QE and a rate cut).

The outlook will not improve (before 2020), but the ECB usually delivers when projections are updated – i.e. in September (they will ease with a time-lag after the Fed.

Break of ADR Highs to further extensions or Break of Support to form a Double top.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.13353 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.13059. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.14030, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.14413.

GBP USD

GBP traded lower against USD and closed at 1.2675.

Pair @ support from previous 3 week Pivot.

Pair @ support from Pivot support candle.

Preparing for Pre G-20 Meeting.

Resistance @ Pivot resistance candle.

Resistance @ Monthly Pivot.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.26366, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.25980. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.27488, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.28224.

Key Fundamentals of the Day

The dollar fell against most major currencies on Tuesday, hitting a three-month low against the euro.

As expectations of multiple decreases of U.S. interest rates by the Federal Reserve have spurred selling of the U.S. currency.

Growing tensions between Iran and the United States stoked fresh safe-haven buying of the yen.

President Donald Trump believes the U.S. dollar is too strong, and the euro is.

For Detailed analysis visit XtreamForex YouTube Channel.

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Technical Overview of EUR/CHF, EUR/JPY and AUD/JPY Currency Pair

EUR CHF

EUR traded higher against CHF and closed at 1.1116.

Long-term trend: Neutral. The weekly close below support around 1.1130 suggests further selling pressure.

Short-term trend: Down. The consolidation below the lower end trading of the trading range around 1.1150 is bearish.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.10864 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.10571. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.11345, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.11533.

EUR JPY

EUR traded higher against JPY and closed at 122.527.

Long-term trend: Down. A test of the solid horizontal support around 111.95 should be expected.

Short-term trend: Neutral. Higher prices are still possible, although the upside potential remains limited.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 121.983, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 121.440. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 122.848, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 123.170.

AUD JPY

AUD traded higher against JPY and closed at 75.271.

Long-term trend: Down. Long-term solid horizontal support comes in around 72.15.

Short-term trend: Neutral: Bottoming scenario confirmed by breaking upper end falling trend channel
 around 74.70.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 74.745, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 74.220. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 75.572, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 75.874.

For Detailed analysis visit XtreamForex YouTube Channel.

 

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Technical Overview of USD/CNH, USD/CHF and USD/CAD Currency Pair

USD CNH

USD traded higher against CNH and closed at 6.8679.

G20 Summit is over now, it’s expected that the weakness of the USD may continue.

On the other hand we may see strength in the safe heaven and CNH.

President Donald Trump wants a weaker dollar to help boost exports, and is counting on the Federal Reserve to help make that happen. But the central bank’s chairman, Jerome Powell, has made clear it’s not his job.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 6.85980 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 6.85170. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 6.87757, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 6.88724.

USD CHF

USD traded higher against CHF and closed at 0.9764.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.97432, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.97225. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.97793, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.97947.

USD CAD

USD traded higher against CAD and closed at 1.3099.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.30715, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.30440. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.31142, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.31294.

Major Economic Events of the Day

The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI, released by Market, is based on data compiled from monthly replies to questionnaires sent to purchasing executives in over 400 private manufacturing sector companies.

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index shows business conditions in the US manufacturing sector It is a significant indicator of the overall economic condition in US. A result above 50 is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, whereas a result below 50 is seen as negative (or bearish).

For Detailed analysis visit XtreamForex YouTube Channel.

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Technical Overview of AUD/USD Currency Pair

AUD USD

AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6963.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), as was widely expected, decided to cut interest rates for the second month in a row to a historic low level of 1.0% at its July monetary policy meeting held this Tuesday. 
The decision was on expected lines and hence, did little to prompt any fresh selling around the Australian Dollar, with the AUD/USD pair holding steady above mid-0.6900s.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.69344 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.69057. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.70132, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.70633.

Major Economic Events of the Day
Mark Carney is Governor of the Bank of England and Chairman of the Monetary Policy Committee, Financial Policy Committee and the Board of the Prudential Regulation Authority. His appointment as Governor was approved by Her Majesty the Queen on 26 November 2012. The Governor joined the Bank on 1 July 2013.

Philip Lowe replaced Glenn Stevens as governor of Australia’s central bank. Lowe was the Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, a position he held since February 2012.

For Detailed analysis visit XtreamForex YouTube Channel.
 

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Technical Overview of GBP/USD and EUR/JPY Currency Pair

 

GBP USD

GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 1.2527.

GBP/USD - Charts Suggest the 2019 Low Is Vulnerable.

D1 and H4 200 EMA Heads to south.
Broke D1 Ib towards the down side.
Broke the Quarter Support and Month Support.

Series of Lower Lows and Lower Highs.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.24759 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.24252. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.25822, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.26378.

 

EUR JPY

EUR traded lower against JPY and closed at 121.779.

EUR/JPY: Scope for Retesting 120.82.

D1 and H4 200 EMA Heads to south.
Broke D1 Ib towards the down side.

It's in range but projects towards the down side.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 121.596 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 121.414. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 121.943, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 122.108.

 

Major Economic Events of the Day

Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will hold a press conference about monetary policies in Tokyo. Mr Kuroda exercises general control over the Bank's business. He is in charge of the Internal Auditors' Office.

For Detailed analysis visit XtreamForex YouTube Channel.

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Technical Overview of EUR/USD and AUD/USD and GBP/NZD Currency Pair

 

EUR USD

EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1208.

EUR is expected to trade sideways, likely within a 1.1190/1.1230 range.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.11943 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.11810. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.12198, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.12320.

 

AUD USD

AUD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6926.

AUD/USD - Edges Lower After Weak Consumer Confidence
Bears Seem Confident Ahead Of Fed 

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.69059 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.68858. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.69604, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.69948.

 

GBP NZD

GBP traded lower against NZD and closed at 1.8856.

Overnight NZD was struck by a massive selling order. It was almost 34 pips in Asian session.

UK Manufacturing Production today

We can see that the expected 2.1 is way lot better than previous –3.9
if we have a positive tone from GBP then the Technical and fundamental bounce from the lows will be supported.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.88115 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.87673. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.88989, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.89421.

 

Major Economic Events of the Day

CAD: BOC Tone On Wed Likely A Bit More Optimistic Than Markets Assuming – CIBC
“While not a stunner for markets, the tone will tend to be a bit more optimistic than what markets are now assuming.”

The Consumer Price Index is released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the CNY, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish) for the CNY.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testifies before Congress, providing a broad overview of the economy and monetary policy. Powell's prepared remarks are published ahead of the appearance on Capitol Hill.

For Detailed analysis visit XtreamForex YouTube Channel.

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Technical Overview of USD/CAD and USD/JPY Currency Pair

USD CAD

USD traded lower against CAD and closed at 1.3069.

Trades near the yearly-low (1.3037) even though the Bank of Canada (BoC) endorses a wait-and-see approach for monetary policy, and recent price action keeps the downside targets on the radar as the exchange rate fails to break out of the monthly opening range.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.30436 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.30179. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.30931, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.31169.

 

USD JPY

USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 108.487.

USD/JPY to find support from yields may face resistance above 109.00.
Its approaching resistance level and fundamentally the weakness of USD may drive the pair lower.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 108.053 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 107.618. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 108.726, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 108.964.

For Detailed analysis visit XtreamForex YouTube Channel.

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Technical Overview of AUD/USD and USD/JPY Currency Pair

AUD USD

AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.7022.

Maintain a bullish data; Staying Long is more favorable as compared to short. Daily chart has a break above close above 10 EMA. Targets may be 0.73, Daily High and Weekly High has also been breached over night. Looking for a break meaningfully above resistance earlier this week at 0.7036 and remain long AUDUSD targeting 0.7300.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.69868 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.69515. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.70409, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.70597.

USD JPY

USD traded higher against JPY and closed at 107.885.

3 - Bearish Days for the Dollar, Expectations are the Rate cut by end of July.
Bearish sentiment leads the currency against the basket of CHF and JPY.
Selling rallies may be a positive approach in trading the safe-heaven. The basket trades below Quarterly and Yearly Pivots.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 107.589 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 107.292. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 108.394, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 108.902.

Major Events of the Day

NZD: Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Q2)

Consumer Price Index released by the Statistics New Zealand is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services . The purchase power of NZD is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the NZD, while a low reading is seen as negative.

CNY: Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (Q2)

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China studies the gross value of all goods and services produced by China. The indicator presents the pace at which the Chinese economy is growing or decreasing. As the Chinese economy has influence on the global economy, this economic event would have an impact on the Forex market. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the CNY, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).

[xtreamforex]

Technical Overview of EUR/USD, AUD/NZD and EUR/JPY Currency Pair

EUR USD

EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1220.

Below 200 and 50 EMA with the trend towards the down side.
Making a series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
Stalling in the Weekly Inside bar Pattern.
Break on either side may lead the trend.
The most important factor is the Fed rate cut.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1214 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1207. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1226, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1231.

AUD NZD

AUD traded lower against NZD and closed at 1.0401.

Below 200 and 50 EMA with the trend towards the down side.
Making a series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
Broke the Weekly inside Bar Pattern to the down side.
Broke the low of Monthly candle,
Any Selling opportunity may be good option.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.0383 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.0376. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.0396, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.0402.

EUR JPY

EUR traded lower against JPY and closed at 120.77.

Bears in control as they broke the Weekly In sidebar and are to target the bearish ABCD Pattern, heading towards minimum 127 extension.

ECB steers the market towards more easing later in the year.
Quantitative Easing and Further rate cut by 10 Basis Points will weaken the EURO.
This rate cut may occur in September.
Until then EURO may remain sideways.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 120.94 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 120.86. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 121.10, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 121.20.

For Detailed analysis visit XtreamForex YouTube Channel.

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Technical Overview of EUR/USD and GBP/CHF Currency Pair

EUR USD

EUR traded lower against USD and closed at 1.1208.

EUR/USD - Bears get clear signals ahead of ECB Meet.
We have break below close below of Daily Ib and Weekly Ib.
Bollinger bands facing towards south.
EUR/USD near-term downside limited to channel base 1.1158
Quiet Trading Expected Ahead Of Key Event Risks
ECB meeting Thursday and FOMC next week likely be catalysts for breakout.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.12013 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.11941. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.12204, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.12323.

GBP CHF

GBP traded higher against CHF and closed at 1.225.

The GBP/CHF continued to trade downwards, targeting the lower area located @1.2000. 

Given that the currency pair is pressured by the 55-, 100– and 200-hour moving averages and has breached low of Monthly candle currently located in the 1.2285/1.2325 range, it is expected, that the British Pound could continue to depreciate against the Swiss Franc.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.22173 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.21845. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.22931, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.23361.

 

Fundamentals of the Day

1) Dollar rises as fears of a 50 point interest-rate cut fade

The U.S. dollar rose in afternoon trade on Friday as fears of a larger-than-expected 50-basis-point interest rate cut in July abated after the New York Federal Reserve walked back dovish comments from its president the prior day.

2) ECB Bank Lending Survey

The bank lending survey (BLS) for the euro area was launched in 2003. Its main objective is to enhance the Eurosystem’s knowledge of financing conditions in the euro area. The BLS provides input to the ECB Governing Council’s assessment of monetary and economic developments, on which it bases its monetary policy decisions.

3) FPC Meeting Minutes

Bank of England Financial Policy Committee Minutes is a detailed record of the FPC's most recent meeting. The report, which is released quarterly, provides in-depth insights into the financial conditions and decisions towards financial stability.

4) Tory Leadership Contest Result Announcement

The UK Conservative Party is set to announce the results of the vote for its new leadership. UK tories have been voting for weeks and the race has been trimmed to two candidates: Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt. The winner of the contest will become the new British Prime Minister, succeeding Theresa May at the Number 10 Downing Street office.